Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.248359 0.336070 0.438925 0.566494 0.718500 0.891922 1.102771
2026-01-25 0.135395 0.236827 0.376156 0.572402 0.832495 1.156531 1.581464
2026-02-01 0.066850 0.159058 0.309872 0.550600 0.901632 1.372305 2.027405
2026-02-08 0.037301 0.122152 0.285831 0.576282 1.032667 1.678631 2.616207
2026-02-15 0.018267 0.089115 0.253509 0.578050 1.125024 1.937575 3.160362
2026-02-22 0.010461 0.074753 0.249290 0.623371 1.286745 2.306024 3.877991
2026-03-01 0.005185 0.060056 0.237262 0.650066 1.418884 2.637948 4.560583
2026-03-08 0.001987 0.045433 0.217438 0.655514 1.513099 2.915754 5.176252
2026-03-15 0.000477 0.032185 0.192636 0.643153 1.571839 3.138832 5.718424
2026-03-22 0.000085 0.024738 0.180619 0.655299 1.674629 3.436288 6.383315
2026-03-29 0.000002 0.018147 0.166055 0.657030 1.756096 3.701242 7.006681
2026-04-05 NaN 0.011733 0.144727 0.635082 1.786938 3.880951 7.501936
2026-04-12 NaN 0.007351 0.127121 0.618796 1.829058 4.085724 8.051682
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004968 0.117503 0.622858 1.914090 4.369734 8.739405
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002621 0.100711 0.598580 1.934028 4.538306 9.245304
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001947 0.099248 0.625235 2.070456 4.923337 10.118386
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001126 0.091444 0.626803 2.148828 5.204834 10.827678
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000985 0.095605 0.674620 2.339843 5.702389 11.910512
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000700 0.094774 0.702763 2.485671 6.120218 12.869000
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000373 0.088823 0.708477 2.577326 6.438976 13.667702
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000131 0.079289 0.695387 2.620809 6.667035 14.317341
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000056 0.075840 0.708213 2.730370 7.025669 15.198200
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000013 0.070492 0.710037 2.811284 7.330681 15.992504